Todd Dorman

Todd Dorman is a columnist for The Gazette. His blog has been bringing smiles to readers' faces since November 2007.
Updated: 18 January 2013 | 1:29 pm in 24 hour dorman by Todd Dorman

Branstad bats at Braley’s balloon


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Des Moines Register scribe Kathie Obradovich notes that Gov. Terry Branstad took a poke at a recent report that Democratic U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley may have interest in a gubernatorial run:

“Ask him the last time a congressman was elected governor in this state,” he said, just after the taping of Iowa Press. Braley is scheduled to appear on the Iowa Public Television program next weekend.

Obradovich, helpfully, provides us and the governor an answer. It was Nathan Kendall, a Republican who served in Congress from 1909 to 1913 and was elected governor in 1920. Now you know.

Branstad is right, of course. Congress is remarkably unpopular. All Branstad would have to do in a campaign against Braley is point to the state’s good fiscal health, point to the federal government’s fiscal condition, not to mention its now chronic Congressional dysfunction, and say, which one do you like better? Democrats may say it’s unfair to blame Braley, and they might have a point. But they did roughly the same thing to Jim Nussle in 2006. And “It ‘s not my fault” isn’t exactly a winning slogan.

I honestly think Braley knows this and won’t risk a run against Branstad. It’s not that I think Branstad is absolutely unbeatable under any circumstance, it’s just that being in Congress, at this point, means being dipped in a big vat of un-electable when it comes to seeking an office such as governor. That may change, but likely not by next year. And with the debt ceiling, sequestration, etc., it could get even worse.

Part of me would like to see a Branstad-Braley race. It would be a lot more interesting than what we’re probably going to get. But I doubt it’s going to happen.

And that’s probably good news for Cedar Rapids. We have some serious irons in the federal fire, so the last thing we need is a part-time congressman running for governor.

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Branstad bats at Braley’s balloon
  1. I don’t know what Braley’s plans are but I know what I would like them to be. Iowa has two relatively old Senators. I think it is 50/50 as to whether Harkin will run for reelection in 2014, at age 75, and it is almost certain that Grassley will not run in 2016, at age 83. Braley should run for Harkin’s office if, and only if, Harkin retires or he should run for Grassley’s office 2 years later when Grassley retires.

    As for the next Governor? I’m sure Christy Vilsack would do better in a statewide run than she did in District 4.

  2. Rich…Christie Vilsack practically destroyed whatever future she had politically with her “campaign” against Steve King, and I say “campaign” loosely because Christie Vilsack’s effort was one of the most poorly run and executed political campaigns in Iowa political history.

    She failed to tell voters what she believed in and supported. Instead she made her campaign into a 24/7 attack machine against Steve King and it backfired massively. Even in a district that leaned Democrat (including Ames)–Vilsack couldn’t even pull 45% of the vote.

    As for Braley running for Governor–the Iowa political landscape is littered with the political corpses of those who have challenged Terry Branstad.

    Braley would be extremely hard pressed attempting to illustrate that Branstad has done a poor job since 2010. Iowa’s deficit is now a surplus, unemployment among the lowest in the country, healthy job growth returning to the state,

    So, that would likely mean Braley would be forced to go highly negative against Branstad–just like Conlin, Junkins, Avenson, and Culver did. That route didn’t exactly serve them well.




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