Mike Hlas

Hi, I'm Gazette/TheGazette.com sports columnist Mike Hlas. This is the Hlog. We will meet here, discuss things, and then go [...]
Updated: 11 September 2012 | 5:15 pm in Sports, The Hlog by Mike Hlas

Hlas column: Just two weeks undoes entire offseason of expectations at Iowa, and in Big Ten

Things aren't the way many thought they would be in Madison, Lincoln, or Iowa City


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If you stepped back about 100 yards and looked at college football objectively, wouldn’t you just have to laugh?

Does anybody really know anything? I’m not talking about the coaches or players. I mean the rest of us.

Here are three things I’ll try to remember next August:

They're seeing red in Nebraska. And Wisconsin. And Iowa.

1. Many teams are better than we think they’ll be.

2. Many teams are worse than we think they’ll be.

3. The ball takes funny bounces, literally and figuratively.

We’re two weeks into this season, and those two weeks have stood a lot of us on our ears. Especially here in Big Ten country.

Nebraska’s defense was leakier at UCLA than a canoe made of Swiss cheese.

The Cornhuskers allowed 653 total yards, and 344 rushing yards, to a UCLA team that lost eight games last year. Nebraska.

Wisconsin went to Oregon State and couldn’t move the ball.

That’s two-time defending Big Ten-champion, run-the-ball-down-your-throat Wisconsin. It had 201 total yards in a 10-7 loss, and Bret Bielema fired offensive line coach Mike Markuson the next day.

Most of us assumed Iowa would have a decent offense this season. We also assumed Iowa would have defensive struggles, at least early in the season. Through two weeks, we’ve been wrong on both counts.

You go to Chicago in late July for the league’s annual football media days, and there are these high-profile coaches from these high-profile universities, and they have a luncheon featuring all the coaches and some of their best players that a few thousand people attend, and they remind you they play in coliseums with 70,000, 80,000, even 112,522 people, and millions more watch them on national television.

You can’t help but tell yourself this is big-boy football, biggest-boy football. This is mighty, mighty football, with a century of tradition and the next set of legends and leaders residing on current teams.

Many football followers could sing along

Then September arrives and Michigan gets wasted by Alabama. Penn State loses to Ohio and Virginia. Wisconsin bows to an Oregon State team that was 3-9 last year, Nebraska falls to a UCLA club that was 6-8, and Iowa can’t even reach the end zone at home against Iowa State.

Nebraska’s coaches knew they would have defensive shortcomings. Bret Bielema knew he was replacing six assistant coaches including his offensive coordinator and offensive line coach. Iowa’s coaches knew their offense probably wouldn’t be machine-like coming out of the gates.

And there were was at least one former Big Ten assistant coach who quietly said Michigan couldn’t hang with Alabama.

But some of us had believed otherwise. Maybe we just wanted to believe it.

Here’s the really funny part: If Montee Ball maybe slips one specific tackle, Wisconsin might have beaten Oregon State. Had a UCLA receiver dropped a pass in a critical moment, it might have lost to Nebraska.

Had James Vandenberg’s last pass against Iowa State been an inch or two higher and eluded the reach of ISU linebacker Jake Knott, the Hawkeyes might be 2-0 today.

If they played those and many other games all over again today, the results could have been precisely the same or wildly different. But you get one shot, and live with the consequences of each play. Then you start all over again the following Saturday.

But we’ll analyze the games to pieces, and we’ll monitor recruiting with the intensity of lasers, and we’ll always keep trying to project future successes.

Yet, a cornerback will slip and get burned by a receiver. A quarterback and his center won’t be in sync on a critical snap. A field goal will or won’t clear a crossbar by a foot.

And some Big Ten school will fire a coach because he didn’t win enough, and replace him with someone who has looked like a wizard in a smaller setting. Because it’s committed to winning.

 

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Hlas column: Just two weeks undoes entire offseason of expectations at Iowa, and in Big Ten
  1. You’re correct on everything but one item needs clarification: you will NEVER see Iowa on the “firing” side of any coaching decision. Not under KF for sure; unlikely under others. Iowa couldn’t even bring itself to fire Alford with plenty of justification. There’s zero chance anyone on the football coaching staff will be fired short of murder, assault of a player, or speaking negatively about farm subsidies.

  2. Yeah, obviously KF is not going to fire any family members. This whole KF regime is rotten with nepotism from top to bottom. The whole regime needs to go away, not just one coach. I am one Hawkeye fan and alum who is sick and tired of watching Iowa field mediocre teams that are just gentleman losers. There is no reason on earth why Iowa cannot be a permanent top tier football program. Until that happens, please teach the receivers how to catch a football.

    • Frederic: There is no reason on earth why Iowa cannot be a permanent top tier football program?

      I hope you meant that as satire.

      • I’m not sure he meant it in satire. nepotism should not be allowed. make no mistake: KF’s son reports to the AD in job description only. KF calls the shots and sonny responds to him, not the AD.

        Would i expect Iowa to be at the top at all times, year after year? of course not. NO PROGRAM is at the top year after year after year. Alabama had some quiet years, Florida is having some lean times, same with LSU, and look how Auburn has started out.

        That being said, for the paycheck being dolled out, we can certainly expect better results that we’ve been seeing. Last year I predicted Iowa would do no better than 7-5 this season. I thought that would be tough to reach. Now i am wondering if i set my sites too high?

        Every other coach in the Top 10 of paychecks has at least one national championship…KF being the exception. We’ll never see that in Iowa City. The answer to the obvious question of “Why not” is the simple fact there is no reason to, no incentive to. KF has the best job in college football. no where else can you make this kind of money without it being tied to performance. NC’s, B10 championships (not shared, EARNED and WON outright), Rose Bowls, etc. you want that kind of money elsewhere, you’re going to be expected to perform. Not at Iowa. Fans are so afraid of returning to the ‘Nagel years’, they will settle for 7-5 and 8-4 and start circling the wagons as soon as someone tries to hold KF accountable. Folks: KF isn’t going anywhere for reasons i just mentioned. there will be expectations of championships everywhere else that simply do not exist here. I’d question KF’s mental capacity if he ever wanted to leave Iowa.

        I have never bought into the “we just can’t get 5-star recruits at Iowa…it gets cold here….we don’t have the sunny weather and coeds running around in shorts year round” argument. It gets pretty cold in Ann Arbor, Columbus, South Bend – and they can get the recruits. Iowa has a rich tradition of sending more players to the NFL than most SEC and ‘warm’ schools. more than OSU and Michigan most years as well. Talk about a recruiting lure! “sure. we get cold in Iowa city. but if you want to play on Sundays, you have a greater chance here.”. throw on top of that the pressures to win a NC and churn out 10-2, 11-1 records doesn’t exist. could be an attractive lure.

        UNI will play Iowa tough this weekend. Look for a Panther’s “upset”. The way things are going now, that would not surprise me at all.

        • I was referring to the “permanent top tier football program” and nothing more.

          But I’d strongly argue with anyone who thinks it should be just as easy to lure players to Iowa as it is Michigan or Ohio State. For one thing … there’s this little thing called population!

          The NFL argument is one of Iowa’s biggest recruiting pitches. It has worked and continues to work. But it doesn’t work so much with running backs and wide receivers.

          In fact, the entire Big Ten isn’t overloaded with great RBs and WRs. Or quarterbacks, for that matter.

  3. Great column; thanks for the perspective. It’s not life or death and we really shouldn’t take this stuff so seriously. It’s just frustrating to see how far the Iowa program has slipped.

  4. There’s the rub – nearly every school in a BCS conference wants to be a permanent top tier program. But how much room at the top is there? I said the same thing about the proposed “superconferences.” Half the teams are going to finish .500 or lower. It’s a mathematical certainty. If Missouri goes 2-6 or 3-5 in the SEC for several years, the people in Columbia may begin to wonder if switching was a good idea. Personally, I think that you’ll see a few teams (Oklahoma, Alabama, USC, etc) almost always at the top. But with scholarship limitations and the talent being spread around, everyone else is going to have a very difficult fight to join them.

    • Good points Scott. It may be semantics, but the teams you mentioned are generally considered “elite”. I could be wrong, but “top tier” IMO are those teams that are pretty much always in the top half/top third of their conference. This makes ascension to a conference title much more likely/less unexpected/possible = or at least easier/less possible than rising from a bottom-tier 7-12th mediocre track record (and we’re not there – yet – but are sliding that way).

      Iowa should be able to stay in the top tier. It’s shown that it’s possible and shouldn’t be pooh-poohed by so many that are “happy just to have close games” = even when we’ve lost a majority of them the past decade – especially the past 7 years. I don’t expect national titles at Iowa – but 7-5/8-4 records are mediocre when you develop so much NFL talent. You can’t brag about the NFL talent without being justifiably criticized about the average/mediocre records.

      BTW, Mr. O’Connor, Iowa sports ARE life and death – and don’t you forget it! I’m in my 6th re-incarnation now = I went through two alone in the 2004 season (3rd and 4th)!

  5. Its taken years to achieve..but the NCAA’s 85 scholarship limit has achieved what it was set out to do: getting as close as we can to parity in college football.

    Gone are the days of the dominance of the “big” programs like your FSU’s, Michigan, Nebraska, etc

    In its place, you’ve seen the rise of programs like Boise State, TCU, etc.

    You’ve seen schools at FBS programs rise up to defeat FCS schools more frequently–UNI against ISU, Applachian State vs Michigan, etc.

    Teams only have so many scholarships they can offer and no longer can they stockpile talent to spare so that they simply “reload, not rebuild”.

    There is a wealth of young, fresh talent that is available every year for schools–no longer is that talent able to be hoarded by just a few schools.

  6. Look at the fate of “top tier” programs. They usually are followed by years of probation. Iowa will never be Michigan, Alabama, or USC. That being said we in Iowa appreciate the great and even good years so much more than other fans. I simple ask for a team of fighters who occasionally win a conference championship or go to a good bowl every couple of years. The lean years make us appreciate the good so much more. Before Fry 20 years of losing football. Between Fry and KF only a couple of losing seasons since 1980. Look at Purdue, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Wisconsin in the last 20 years, all programs struggle at times. We could do much worse than Kirk running the show.

  7. Scott, Mike, Todd, Lon: You’re being far too reasonable.

    Good points, one and all.

  8. This whole article, and many of the responses seem like some sort of looser’s therapy.

    I’m glad your all talking this out and rationalizing the loss last weekend, and the loss to come.

    • “C C”:

      Insults are MUCH more effective when they’re not riddled with spelling and grammatical errors. I was beginning to have some SERIOUSLY hurt feelings – but my laughter at the aforementioned mistakes helped me to avoid those feelings in the end!

    • It’s like this, CC. People on this blog aren’t allowed to insult each other. You want to disagree, disagree. You want to call people “loosers” …

      Ah, Mike Miller said it better than I could.




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