Marc Morehouse

Hi, I'm Marc Morehouse. I've covered sports for more than 15 years, mostly in Eastern Iowa. I've had Hayden Fry [...]
Updated: 19 March 2012 | 4:37 pm in College and University, Football, Hawkeye Football, Iowa Hawkeyes, On Iowa by Marc Morehouse, Sports

Four Downs with the receivers (spring edition)

New offensive coordinator Greg Davis may put more emphasis on the passing game


thegazette.com Copyright 2011 SourceMedia Group. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Iowa teammates congratulate wide receiver Keenan Davis after he caught a 14-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter of the Hawkeyes' game against Pittsburgh at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City on Saturday, Sept. 17, 2011. Davis netted 129 yards in the 31-27 win. (David Scrivner/SourceMedia Group)

 

QUICK LOOK BACK: How ’bout that Marvin McNutt?

The 6-foot-3, 215-pounder put up the best season ever for an Iowa wide receiver, setting the yardage (1,315) and touchdown receptions (12) records and tying the receptions (82). He holds all of Iowa’s career records except receptions. He’s training for the NFL draft right now and will likely be a second- or third-round pick in April, becoming the first Iowa WR to be drafted since Kahlil Hill in 2002.

After McNutt — who clearly was QB James Vandenberg’s go-to from the minute he passed on the NFL draft last January — Iowa receiver tiered decisively. Keenan Davis finished with 50 receptions, which would’ve led Iowa receivers in three of the last five seasons. Redshirt freshman Kevonte Martin-Manley caught 30 passes.

The next receiver after the big three was Steven Staggs’ five receptions. So yeah, pretty big drop-off.

Tight ends clocked in with their lowest output since 2007, with C.J. Fiedorowicz catching 16 passes to lead Iowa TEs. In ’07, Brandon Myers led with 21  receptions.

The drop in tight end production was a big deal. It partially explains McNutt’s jump in production (his previous high for receptions was 53 in 2010). It’s an even bigger deal when you consider this Kirk Ferentz quote from Big Ten media days last summer (talking about Iowa’s offense):

“We’ll do whatever we have to, but we are going to play tight ends, I promise you,” he said. “Never say never. But I’m pretty sure we’ll never drop our tight ends.”

He’s also joked that when Iowa loses, his wife, Mary, says it’s because they didn’t throw to the tight end enough.

Sophomore Kevonte Martin-Manley caught 30 passes in his first season on the field. That probably goes up this season with questions at running back, a returning QB and some element of surprise with new offensive coordinator Greg Davis. (Gazette file)

FOURTH DOWN — CONCERNS: There was a stat that floated around in December that had Iowa leading the Big Ten in drops. This stat is not kept, at least on an official basis, so skepticism abounds.

There is an air of plausibility to this. The drops piled up in the second half of the season, the Nebraska game and Insight Bowl in particular. Everyone had a hand, pardon the pun, in it, too. Davis, the heir apparent to No. 1 numbers, would be the first one to tell you he had too many drops.

“I can’t go out there and drop passes anymore,” Davis said after the Insight. “I’ve got to lead by example.”

After drops, you go to experience. Iowa has Davis and Martin-Manley with solid experience. Staggs made a move last season and earned a scholarship for his senior year. Remember the first time Davis ruined his ankle last season? The next game was Minnesota, where we saw Staggs and Jordan Cotton take their first steps in real playing time.

One way to look at it is Iowa basically uses three wide receivers and you know Nos. 1 and 2 are Davis and Martin-Manley. No. 3 is wide open and that means historically that 15 to 30 receptions are up for grabs. The No. 4 WR has caught five, 11, 14, 13 and 19 in the last five years. So, don’t dismiss No. 4. And, as we saw with Davis’ injury, it doesn’t hurt to have Nos. 5 and 6 in mind.

At tight end, the question is consistency. There’s no question that the light went on for Fiedorowicz last season. He caught 14 of his 16 receptions in Iowa’s final six games. Subsequently, he was shut out in five of Iowa’s first seven games. Zach Derby didn’t catch a pass in Iowa’s final three games.

Fiedorowicz builds off the second half of his 2011, Iowa might have a difference maker.

THIRD DOWN — ADDITIONS/SUBTRACTIONS: Is it easier to replace an outgoing senior when you know you have to prepare for his departure? Is it more difficult than replacing a left offensive tackle who leaves early for the the NFL?

Caption: Iowa wide receiver Jacob Hillyer pulls in a pass during practice at Kinnick Stadium on Tuesday, Aug. 9, 2011, in Iowa City, Iowa. Hillyer could be the No. 3 in 2012. (SourceMedia Group News/Jim Slosiarek)

Probably “no” on both accounts. So, pop some popcorn for the NFL draft in April and watch Marvin McNutt go to the . . . well, who knows?

Marcus Grant caught one pass as a true freshman last season and seemed set on the path for playing time in ’12, but he left the Hawkeyes in December before the Insight Bowl. The Massachusetts native wanted to transfer closer to home and was considered a good get for Boston College.

Grant would’ve been in it for playing time this season, but that opens the door for Jacob Hillyer, a 6-4, 195-pounder who redshirted last season. Hillyer went on the Purdue and Nebraska road trips last season. He wasn’t going to play, but it was more reward for what he did in practice, which can’t be a bad thing.

Iowa signed three wide receivers in February. You can meet Greg Mabin, Tevaun Smith and Cameron Wilson by clicking their names. The vibe was that Mabin might have the best shot at seeing the field out of the three.

Don’t discount the possibility of a little creativity here. What if incoming safety Ruben Lile comes into campus closer to 6-4 than 6-2? Receiver also was attached to incoming freshman Kevin Buford’s name.

At tight end, Brad Herman is off to try to make an NFL roster. He was “next” in line at tight end, following Tony Moeaki and Allen Reisner. He admirably jumped into the game as a true freshman and seemed poised for a payoff. It didn’t happen. Mental errors cost him playing time and he finished with eight catches.

SECOND DOWN — BATTLES BREWING: It’s going to be pretty hard for any WR to move Davis and Martin-Manley out of the Nos. 1 and 2 spots. (For what it’s worth, both were listed as “Z” receivers in the slot last spring.) The battle is for No. 3.

What does that mean production-wise? Here’s a breakdown of the No. 3 WR the last five seasons:

2011

Kevonte Martin-Manley 30-383 3 TDs

2010

Colin Sandeman 21-227 2 TDs

2009

Trey Stross 31-414 1 TD

2008

Stross 13-109 1 TD

2007

Paul Chaney Jr. 19-210 1 TD

2006

Herb Grigsby 27-282 0 TD

2005

Grigsby 25-335 3 TD

So, on average, 24 receptions, 227 yards and 1.6 TDs are up for grabs. Who’s in this?

Hillyer — Should be an interesting spring for Iowa’s biggest wideout. His prep coach at Somerset (Texas) High School was Sonny Detmer, the father of college and NFL QBs Ty and Koy Detmer. So, maybe he has technique, which could be what decides this as much as speed or athleticism. The player who hits the ground running is most likely to soak up all-important reps.

Staggs — The fact he was rewarded a scholarship in January speaks volumes. School is expensive, and Iowa coaches wanted to keep him around enough to offer free schooling. That puts him in the race.

Don Shumpert — The 6-3, 187-pound junior is still looking for his first career reception.

Jordan Cotton — Saw some payoff with playing time last season.

Walk ons — Sophomore Blake Haluska is now listed at 6-4, 210. Maybe he’s ready to make a move? Don’t forget Nick Nielsen, a constant on special teams who moved to WR after three years at safety.

Freshman — Iowa coaches seemed sold on Mabin’s toughness. That word carries a lot of weight. Smith has a strong track resume. Wilson might be the most raw.

You might hear one of these names 24 times next season.

Iowa routinely uses three tight ends. Those three will be Fiedorowicz, Derby and Hamilton. The other two on scholarship are Henry Krieger-Coble and Jake Duzey. If there’s injury, the question will be who’s the better blocker? That will be the one who plays.

FIRST DOWN — PREDICTIONS FOR 2012: Here’s what I predicted for Marvin McNutt in last spring’s “Four Downs“: 65 receptions for 900 yards and 10 TDs. Not too far off. Didn’t take into account Spiderman abilities.

For Davis, I had 35 receptions for 500 and five for Davis. I guessed that Martin-Manley would emerge as the No. 3 and grab 28 for 350 yards and three TDs. Little off on Davis, who finished with 50 for 713 and four TDs. Martin-Manley finished 30 for 323 and three TDs.

This is dangerous territory, but let’s give this a shot. Factors that will cause an upward trend: 1) Questions at running back (notice in 2008, Iowa had a Doak Walker running back and the No. 3 receiver caught 13 passes), 2) Iowa could lean pass to set up the run with veteran QB James Vandenberg, 3) new offensive coordinator Greg Davis will give Iowa an element of surprise. Right now, no one knows what Iowa’s offense will look like.

So, for Davis, let’s go 75 for 800 and eight TDs; 55 for 650 and seven TDs for KMM. I’m going to guess Hillyer for No. 3 with 35, 325 yards and three TDs.

At tight end, I could see Fiedorowicz between 40-45 receptions for 450 yards and five TDs.

Total guesstimates. Fire away.

Iowa's C.J. Fiedorowicz (86) celebrates with teammates James Ferentz (53), Marvin McNutt (7), and Riley Reiff (77) after scoring a touchdown during the fourth quarter of their game against Oklahoma in the 2011 Insight Bowl Friday,Dec. 30, 2011 at Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, AZ. (Brian Ray/ SourceMedia Group News)

 

Rules of Engagement
  • Be truthful. more
  • Be civil. more
  • Be responsible. more
  • Own your words. more
  • Leave the trolls alone. more
  • Take commercial ads elsewhere. more
  • Know that comments will be moderated. more
  • Or what? more
Four Downs with the receivers (spring edition)
  1. I wonder if Hamilton will be the wild card here. He could have gone to almost any school in the country but chose TE university. This may sound like a “the QB on the sideline is actually the best guy” comment, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see Hamilton pass some other TEs quickly and be a force this fall.

    • I agree with the assertion that Iowa’s TEs will be more of a “force” for the O in 2012. What will be interesting is how Greg Davis decides to use the guys. In the past, Iowa hasn’t refrained from even using 3-TE sets when they had the personnel to pull it off. Given the combination of talent and experience between Fiedorowicz, Derby, and Hamilton, I could definitely see that being the case. Given Greg Davis’s background, his Os have used TEs as H-backs and has flexed them out wide too.

  2. Actually to Marc’s credit, good hustle on the prediction. It strongly suggests that by the numbers, Iowa’s offense is predictable.

    • Travis, I’m afraid to say that that is not a correct inference. It simply says that production has to come from somewhere. Given that Iowa’s RB-situation has consistently been strange since Greene left, that implies that the passing game has been forced to pick up the slack. Also, the numbers that Marc provided actually established that McNutt’s numbers were actually quite a surprise! Similarly, Iowa’s lack of production at TE was also a bit of a surprise.

      • I generally agree, but Marc’s prediction of receptions is more or less correct. If I asked you to predict how many catches each person picks, it would take some analysis only Marc would have time to do. Besides McNutt is really an anomaly Iowa ever head over the past 25 years. I think Quinn Early was the closest thing to an Iowa receiver who “made it”: in the pros. The whole exception is tight end receptions.

        • Marc pretty much nailed Tin-man’s production. Past that, his predictions weren’t that “on” at all. Frankly, given how unproven Iowa was with regard to its pass-catchers, I think that Marc’s predictions were great. Who would have guessed that Vandenberg would have passed for over 3000 yards in his first year starting? You have to remember, we’re talking about the Iowa offense too!

          I think that we all would have expected better production in the running game. However, a lot of that was due to a slow start by Coker and injuries to the backups (particularly to McCall and Canzeri).

          Had McCall not gotten injured and had Coker not suffered from ‘paralysis by analysis,’ then we likely would have seen a much more productive ground game. That productivity would then likely have led to our play-action passing game working better … but also it would have led to less passing production.

  3. I really think the battle for #3 and #4 will be between Staggs, Shumpert and Cotton. If I had to guess, Staggs or Cotton would end up #3 and Shumpert or Staggs #4. I really think Cotton will either be the #3, or on the bench. He strikes me as a guy who can be really good if the lightbulb comes on, but who’ll be outcompeted entirely if it doesn’t.

    • Shumpert has a ridiculous combo of speed and athleticism … but he needs to put it together with the requisite skill set needed to be successful at WR. In other words, he needs to be able to catch the ball and run his routes better with better consistency. That may have been part of the reason why he was originally recruited at safety rather than at WR.

      While I agree that Shumpert and Staggs will squarely be in the picture at WR … I do suspect that Hillyer has a decent shot to pass them by. To put this in context, given that Martin-Manley had a pretty poor fall-camp due to injury … that allowed Bullock to jump quickly to nab the #3 spot. That clearly suggests that Ferentz wasn’t lying when he was saying that they had no idea who would be catching balls last year … at least early in the season.




Featured Jobs from corridorcareers.com