At least that's what the experts who think they've got the Bowl Championship Series formula figured out say.
The BCS Guru, who says he has 94-percent confidence that his picks are correct, has Florida first, Alabama second and Virginia Tech third.
Iowa comes in ahead of No. 11 TCU and No. 12 Miami of Florida.
Of course, if Iowa loses Saturday at Wisconsin, you can disregard all of this. Anyway, here are the first projected BCS standings.